Quality Investor

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

Rank #29Capital ReturnWatchlistCompare with other stocks

ULTA · Nasdaq · Consumer Cyclical

Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) — Rank #29 by gross profitability (GP/assets 0.70) · ROE 43.6% · Piotroski F-Score N/A.

As-of 2026-10-30 · CIK 0001403568 · all metrics point-in-time as of the filing date.

About

Ulta Beauty, Inc. operates as a specialty beauty retailer in the United States, Mexico, and Kuwait.

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The company offers branded and private label beauty products, including cosmetics, fragrance, haircare, skincare, bath and body products, professional hair products, and salon styling tools through its Ulta Beauty stores, shop-in-shops, Ulta.com website, and its mobile applications. It also provides wellness products. The company was formerly known as ULTA Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance, Inc. and changed its name to Ulta Beauty, Inc. in January 2017. Ulta Beauty, Inc.

was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Bolingbrook, Illinois.

Industry
Specialty Retail
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Filer Category
Large accelerated filer
Fiscal Year End
January 30
Website
ulta.com

Company Snapshot

P/E and reverse DCF are the primary valuation lenses at this stage.

Market Cap

—

P/E (annual)

—

P/S (annual)

—

P/B

—

P/OCF (annual)

—

Shareholder Yield

—

Employees

21,382

Industry

Specialty Retail

Exchange

Nasdaq

10/11

Flags passed

ULTA fails 1 critical flag

Passes 10 of 11 quality flags

  • FAIL
    Operating margin declining

    Operating margin lower than prior year

  • PASS
    Gross margin holding
  • PASS
    Dilution within 2%
  • PASS
    FCF not negative from investment
  • PASS
    Disclosure consistent
  • PASS
    Revenue not declining
  • PASS
    Free cash flow intact
  • PASS
    Passes safety gate
  • PASS
    No competitive retreat
  • PASS
    SBC not compressing margin
  • PASS
    No valuation convergence

Strengths Revenue growth accelerating · Deferred revenue growing · Sequential beat (rev + EPS)

No data Balance sheet — not counted as a pass.

A count of the 12 warning flags that could be evaluated. Unweighted: colour follows the worst flag.

Quality Profile

Profitability

1/1 pass
GP / assets
0.70
Return on equity
43.6%
Gross margin trend
PASS

Safety

1/1 pass
Balance-sheet safety
PASS
Debt / equity
1.63
Current ratio
1.35×
Net cash
-$126.13M

Cash Flow

2/3 pass
Positive FCF
PASS
Cash-backed earnings
WARN
Accruals healthy
PASS
SBC / revenue
0.3%

Growth

2/2 pass
Revenue growth
9.7%
Piotroski F-Score
N/A
Share dilution
-5.1%

FCF yield, shareholder yield, and buyback activity are the primary reads at this stage.

Profitability

Does it make money well?

Warning: Operating margin declining · GP/assets 0.70

Gross profitability (GP / assets)

0.70

Primary signal (Novy-Marx).

5th of 11 SIC 59 peers

Return on equity

43.6%

Gross margin

39.1%

7th of 11 SIC 59 peers

Revenue growth (YoY)

9.7%

Gross margin improving

Margin trend vs prior year.

PASS

Operating Leverage

2023202420252026
Revenue vs COGS
Revenue vs OpEx
Op. Income vs Revenue

Growth

Revenue CAGR (3Y)

6.7%

Revenue CAGR (5Y)

15.0%

Earnings CAGR (3Y)

-2.4%

FCF CAGR (3Y)

-3.0%

Cash Flow Health

Is the cash real?

No warning flags · FCF 7% below net income

Free cash flow

$1.07B

Operating cash flow minus capex.

Positive free cash flow

PASS

FCF vs net income

-7.4%

(FCF − net income) ÷ |net income|. Positive: cash above earnings. Negative: below.

FCF not below net income

Fails when free cash flow is below net income (yellow flag).

WARN

Accruals healthy

Cash-backed earnings.

PASS

SBC / revenue

0.3%

Stock-based comp intensity.

Balance Sheet Strength

Can it survive a storm?

No warning flags · net debt $126.13M

Balance-sheet safety

Composite anti-fragile check.

PASS

Debt / equity

1.63

8th of 10 SIC 59 peers (best = lowest)

Current ratio

1.35×

9th of 11 SIC 59 peers

Quick ratio

0.22×

Net cash

-$126.13M

Cash & equivalents minus total debt.

Piotroski F-Score

N/A

Only 8/9 components determinable.

Valuation

Is the price reasonable?

No warning flags

Valuation History

Current multiple vs historical range at each filing date. Band spans 25th-75th percentile.

P / E

Price / diluted EPS

20.3xFair
14.6xmed 20.9x97.5x

P / S

Price / revenue per share

1.9xCheap
1.6xmed 2.4x2.8x

P / B

Price / book value per share

8.4xCheap
7.1xmed 9.9x14.1x

P / GP

Price / gross profit per share

4.8xCheap
4.0xmed 6.1x8.8x

P / FCF

Price / free cash flow per share

22.0xCheap
18.2xmed 23.6x26.0x

Capital allocation quality

Composite score

3.5 / 5

Good
Share count trend(net buybacks)
-5.1%5/5 Strong
Buyback timing
vs own P/E history3/5 Good
Dividend growth consistency(non-payer or broken streak)
0 yr3/5 Good
Net debt trajectory
-1.0%3/5 Good

Lifecycle Phase History

20212026
Decline
Hypergrowth
Capital Return

Price History

ULTA+43.5% · +7.5% CAGRSPY+84.0% · +12.9% CAGR